2015 Week 16 NFL ATS Picks

Week 15 Results

Week 3-2, Season 42-32-1, All Time 188-157-3

Week 16 Picks

Cleveland +11 @ Kansas City

For the last three weeks, I've said that lines have not been large enough to compensate for the extreme disparity in the NFL. In theory, this game should be more of the same, but I think strength of schedule may have us overhyping the Chiefs, and under-appreciating Cleveland--especially Johnny Manziel.

Dallas +6 @ Buffalo

Rex Ryan's Bills have been surprising bad on defense all season. With the offense now faltering too, it's hard to argue that the Bills are really that much better than the Cowboys. I like Dallas to win outright.

Arizona -4.5 vs Green Bay

Green Bay's average offense has been enough against a recent slate of weaker opponents, but I think Aaron Rodgers will have an exceedingly difficult time keeping up with this talented Arizona team.

Denver -3.5 (EV) vs Cincinatti

Though Cincinatti won and covered last week, I really expected more against the 49ers. It's possible they were hiding A.J. McCarren for more important games, but even so, I have a difficult time imagining them having much success against this historically great Denver defense.